CLAIM: As Nigeria steps up its efforts in preventing the outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19) from spreading in Nigeria, the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) is also countering a growing epidemic of false information around the virus.
The latest rumour making the rounds on social media is that a 2018 TV show from South Korea predicted the COVID-19 global pandemic.
A scene on the clip (https://twitter.com/harbhajan_singh/status/1243184302336012292) shared on the microblogging site, Twitter, talks about coronavirus causing a global pandemic, without any cure or vaccine.
While the show mentions a coronavirus, CDD fact-checks showed that the coronaviruses are not a new thing. The first coronavirus was identified many decades ago in the 1960s.
Therefore, beyond mentioning coronavirus, are there any similarities between the show and the current reality? The fact is no.
The show uses a fictional coronavirus, with a mortality rate of 90 per cent, which is far deadlier than COVID-19.
The statistics for COVID-19 vary by country, but the global average mortality rate hovers at around 4.5 per cent – a figure widely different from what was depicted on the show.
Some social media commenters have said that the TV show has only able to predict the infection rates. That is also not true.
CDD’s check revealed that the show uses an exponential growth rate, and all exponential growth rates look very similar.
CONCLUSION: The show did not predict the current coronavirus pandemic. Coronaviruses existed long before the show and will continue to exist after the show with probably, different strains of the virus.